Some very interesting and pertinent ones this week so we use this edition for displaying many charts that need to convey market intelligence

Nature of Market Fall: % of stocks down from their all-time highs – 30% of the entire stock market is down by >30% - Read GoalTeller’s research report on the market fall here -

Varying Market Noises: Exactly why I keep saying that play your own game – voices and views keep changing – what doesn’t is – Long long-term market direction
(especially in the current context), your risk tolerance and finally your return expectation.

FII’s selling spree: Banks and financials have been the biggest to bear the brunt – also because they were the highest holdings (so needs to be seen in that context).

• Markets cracked below 23k with continued carnage in mid and small-cap stocks.

• As last year when despite all negative news markets continued to surge, it continues to fall this time despite all positive news (i.e. Positive news from Trump and Modi visit, Income Tax cuts, Lowering Inflation, and Rate Cuts).

• Over the next 3 months all further dips can be utilised as a great buying opportunity with a >24-month investment horizon (It is difficult to predict the exact point of bottoming out but there is a distinct possibility of markets moving down to below 21,000).

• Irrespective, one should have a proper plan that is independent of market movements.

• Gold continues to perform exceptionally well and should continue to surge over the next few months.

So to summarise

1) Large caps look a great bet for the next 12-24 months.

2) I would still continue SIPs (25% odd of the entire amount) into small and mid-cap active funds with a >5-year time horizon.

3) We continuously keep asking individuals to re-balance their portfolios and this helps in selling high and buying low.

4) Gold seems set to cross 1 lakh (several voices saying that it could be a multi-bagger) but I would like to keep re-assessing Gold as it will dance to Trump's tunes and that is quite erratic :).

5) On fixed income despite several voices calling for major rate cuts I would stick to medium-term duration (3-4 years max).

My views on Mirror Now on why over the next few years there will be a lot of bonhomie between the US and India despite possibly short-term issues

• How big tech views Deep Seek

• India’s new tax bill and proposed changes

• Investors Vs Gamblers

• Nasdaq closes above 20k

• Is it a good time to buy Dogecoin

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